automation and a post-work world

7th October 2017

 
 

DOOMSDetails

Prepare to drink, dine, and dream of dystopia during an evening of doomy delights. We will be joined by guest speakers Ed Newton-Rex and Harry Lancaster, who will punctuate the evening's repast and activities with their expertise. 
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7th October 2017
Drinks served from 6.30pm, countdown to the apocalypse begins at 7pm
15 Ovington Square, Knightsbridge, SW3 1LH

Please transfer or bring payment to cover welcome drinks and a three course meal.
You are invited to bring wine or your poison of choice to enjoy with supper.


doomsdata

A collection of curated reference materials to help YOU get in the doom

"This is essentially the old story of the genie in the lamp, or the sorcerer's apprentice, or King Midas: you get exactly what you ask for, not what you want. A highly capable decision maker – especially one connected through the Internet to all the world's information and billions of screens and most of our infrastructure – can have an irreversible impact on humanity."

The Myth of AI - Edge.org
 

"If automation presents the challenge of our time, then the solution is simple: we have to radically re-think what ‘work’ is in order to survive. Whether that’s defining entirely new types of work, or re-shaping the role of humans in current processes, we’re approaching a paradigm shift in what good ol’ fashion work looks like."

Keynes, Automation, and the Future of Work - Decoded

"If nearly half the occupations in the U.S. are “potentially automatable,” and if this could play out within “a decade or two,” then we are looking at economic disruption on an unparalleled scale. Picture the entire Industrial Revolution compressed into the life span of a beagle. Imagine a matrix with two axes, manual versus cognitive and routine versus nonroutine. Jobs can then be arranged into four boxes: manual routine, manual nonroutine, and so on. Jobs on an assembly line fall into the manual-routine box, jobs in home health care into the manual-nonroutine box. Keeping track of inventory is in the cognitive-routine box; dreaming up an ad campaign is cognitive nonroutine. The highest-paid jobs are clustered in the last box; managing a hedge fund, litigating a bankruptcy, and producing a TV show are all cognitive and nonroutine. Manual, nonroutine jobs, meanwhile, tend to be among the lowest paid—emptying bedpans, bussing tables, cleaning hotel rooms. Routine jobs on the factory floor or in payroll or accounting departments tend to fall in between. And it’s these middle-class jobs that robots have the easiest time laying their grippers on."

Our Automated Future - New Yorker Magazine

"Back in the heyday of the US economy, from 1947 to 1973, labor productivity grew at an average pace of nearly 3 percent a year. Since 2007, it has grown at a rate of around 1.2 percent, the slowest pace in any period since World War II. And over the past two years, productivity has grown at a mere 0.6 percent—the very years when anxiety about automation has spiked. That’s simply not what you’d see if efficient robots were replacing inefficient humans en masse. As McAfee puts it, “Low productivity growth does slide in the face of the story we tell about amazing technological progress...If you want to know what happened to manufacturing after 2000, the answer is very clearly not automation, it’s China."

Chill: Robots Won't Take All our Jobs - Wired

"There is something revealing about the contrast between the two technologies — the biotech miracle that is Rachael, and the graffiti-scrawled videophone that Deckard uses to talk to her. It’s not simply that Blade Runner fumbled its futurism by failing to anticipate the smartphone. That’s a forgivable slip, and Blade Runner is hardly the only film to make it. It’s that, when asked to think about how new inventions might shape the future, our imaginations tend to leap to technologies that are sophisticated beyond comprehension."

What we get wrong about technology - Tim Harford

(If you play, use made up credentials like 'name' & 'password')

"That this is a supreme irony – at the exact moment far less human labour is necessary to produce more than enough to satisfy human wants and needs, the system that fostered that abundance is incapable of adapting to it – has been understood by economists from Karl Marx and John Stuart Mill to Thorstein Veblen and John Maynard Keynes. They all understood that capitalism as we know it will eventually need to be superseded with a post-scarcity system that is built around the new economic reality."

The Real Digital Revolution - New Philosopher
 

"Every time there’s been progress in technology, people have predicted that it will be the end of society as we know it, and it never has been. The world today is a vastly better world for everyone than the world of 100 years ago. In fact, technology has been the single force that has propagated prosperity across the world."

Human-Level AI Is Right Around the Corner—or Hundreds of Years Away - IEEE Spectrum

"It’s been said that software is “eating the world.” More and more, critical systems that were once controlled mechanically, or by people, are coming to depend on code. This was perhaps never clearer than in the summer of 2015, when on a single day, United Airlines grounded its fleet because of a problem with its departure-management system; trading was suspended on the New York Stock Exchange after an upgrade; the front page of The Wall Street Journal’s website crashed; and Seattle’s 911 system went down again, this time because a different router failed. The simultaneous failure of so many software systems smelled at first of a coordinated cyberattack. Almost more frightening was the realization, late in the day, that it was just a coincidence."

The coming software apocalypse - The Atlantic
 
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